Model Predictions
| Model | Western Carolina Catamounts | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -13 (56-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Western Carolina Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brigham Waginger * | 32 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Keaton Cole * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Adrian Gailliard * | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Harouna Mutombo * | 23 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Richie Gordon * | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brandon Giles | 24 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Greg Avery | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jake Robinson | 18 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Blake Gallagher | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Antoine Childs | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Christian Tonkins | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tim Magowan | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Eargle * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Mikko Koivisto * | 20 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Kendall Toney * | 19 | 2-10 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -5 | - |
| Ben Stywall * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Montel Smith * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| DeAngelo Jackson | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Elhanan Bone | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Sean Spooner | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Mike Hardiman | 18 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Daniel Oliver | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Pete Brown | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter