Model Predictions
| Model | Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +11 (74-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Harris | 37 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 12 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 28 | - |
| Dexter Moore | 35 | 2-15 | 1-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -2 | - |
| Mario Edwards | 34 | 4-15 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Logan Johnson | 33 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Steven Sexton | 22 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Jon Pack | 15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Breeze | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darius Steger | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Matt Brennan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marshawn Martin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Dickey | 35 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| John Williams | 33 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Reid Augst | 29 | 9-15 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | - |
| J.P. Primm | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Sean Smith | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Quinard Jackson | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Eric Stubbs | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jason Ridenhour | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Chris Stephenson | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter