Model Predictions
| Model | Army Black Knights | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +5 (59-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Army Black Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Richard * | 40 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Nelson * | 33 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Josh Miller * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Doug Williams * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Julian Simmons * | 14 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | - |
| Kenny Brewer | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Rickey Royal | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Hence | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| John Moonshower | 11 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jon Sizemore | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.J. Avworo * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Chris Harris * | 36 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Kaleo Kina * | 31 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Mark Veazey * | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Romeo Garcia * | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Adam Teague | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Clif Colbert | 23 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Sugars | 13 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
* = starter