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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 62.5% 37.5% -
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% -
Margin 69.4% 30.6% -4.5 (9.5 off)

Actual: Longwood Lancers +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Venezia 38 4-12 2-8 0-1 0 4 2 1 2 10 3 -
Y. Gyawu 38 10-18 0-1 3-4 7 2 1 0 1 23 14 -
B. Jonson 30 6-11 0-1 4-4 11 1 0 0 5 16 12 -
W. Morse 22 3-6 2-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 8 5 -
J. Hoban 19 2-4 0-2 2-4 5 1 3 0 2 6 9 -
N. Pascale 18 3-4 0-0 2-3 4 1 0 1 2 8 8 -
T. Vinson 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 2 3 -
A. Hill 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
B. Marfurt 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Melville 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Swecker 34 5-6 2-2 4-4 2 5 4 0 1 16 20 -
D. Smith 29 8-12 0-2 5-6 6 0 2 0 4 21 13 -
R. Bogan 25 1-10 0-5 2-2 4 5 1 0 2 4 2 -
D. Neil 23 2-6 2-4 2-4 2 1 1 0 0 8 6 -
A. Carter 18 3-6 0-0 5-8 4 1 2 0 1 11 11 -
M. Washington 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 9 7 -
B. Robinson Jr. 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 4 6 -
E.J. Dawson 11 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
J. Ryan 10 2-3 0-1 1-1 5 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
B. Evans 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
E. Gee II 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. van der Kooij 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter