Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern State Demons | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals +22 (89-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael McConathy * | 22 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| William Mosley * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | - |
| Keithan Hancock * | 21 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 0 | - |
| Damon Jones * | 19 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Kalem Porterie * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Darius Richardson | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Charles Clark | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Dominic Knight | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Logan McConathy | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Deividas Petravicius | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Aramie Brooks | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| John Conine | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon McThay * | 39 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ashton Hall * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Miles * | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Tristan Worrell * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Coy Custer * | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jay Brown | 25 | 7-8 | 1-1 | 7-8 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 24 | - |
| Skyler Williams | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Shane Mahoney | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Charlie Harper | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brooks Ybarra | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T.J. Riley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Pace | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter