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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Lamar Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 21.4% 78.6% +7.1 (14.9 off)

Actual: Lamar Cardinals +22 (89-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Mosley 22 3-5 0-0 0-2 7 2 3 4 1 6 16 -
M. McConathy 22 2-11 1-6 4-4 2 4 2 0 1 9 5 -
K. Hancock 21 5-11 2-7 2-2 1 0 2 0 6 14 0 -
D. Richardson 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 4 5 -
C. Clark 19 2-6 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
D. Jones 19 1-8 0-3 0-0 3 0 2 0 2 2 -3 -
D. Knight 18 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
L. McConathy 18 2-6 0-2 4-4 0 0 0 0 1 8 1 -
D. Petravicius 17 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 5 3 -
A. Brooks 12 2-4 0-0 2-2 2 0 2 1 0 6 7 -
K. Porterie 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -
J. Conine 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McThay 39 3-8 3-7 3-4 3 4 2 1 2 12 12 -
A. Hall 30 5-8 1-1 4-4 9 4 1 0 3 15 18 -
A. Miles 29 3-6 0-1 5-7 8 4 2 0 7 11 12 -
J. Brown 25 7-8 1-1 7-8 10 1 3 0 4 22 24 -
T. Worrell 21 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
S. Williams 17 4-5 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
C. Custer 17 2-4 0-1 7-9 7 1 0 1 0 11 16 -
S. Mahoney 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 1 -
C. Harper 9 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 0 3 0 0 5 4 -
B. Ybarra 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T.J. Riley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Pace 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter