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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Gonzaga Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 0.9% 99.1% -
Bradley-Terry 5.1% 94.9% -
Margin 1.4% 98.6% +23.6 (10.4 off)
Pythagorean 3.4% 96.6% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +34 (92-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell 29 7-20 2-5 1-3 10 1 2 0 5 17 5 -
M. Thompson 27 1-5 1-2 3-4 3 1 0 1 3 6 3 -
T. Darby 23 4-6 0-0 0-1 3 0 1 0 2 8 4 -
M. Hornbuckle 18 4-7 4-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 12 8 -
A. Shannon 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 0 3 -
J. Dupre' 17 1-4 0-3 2-2 4 1 1 0 3 4 3 -
R. Holmes 16 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 -3 -
G. Clardy 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Suttle Jr. 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Tucker 11 1-4 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
L. Jackson 9 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 -
C. Moore 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Downs 29 6-13 0-5 2-2 3 1 3 0 1 14 7 -
M. Bouldin 29 5-9 3-7 3-3 6 4 3 1 0 16 21 -
J. Heytvelt 25 12-17 1-1 3-6 11 2 0 0 1 28 23 -
S. Gray 25 1-6 1-5 0-2 1 3 1 1 1 3 2 -
J. Pargo 24 5-5 0-0 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 12 13 -
A. Daye 23 2-6 0-2 2-4 5 4 2 3 3 6 11 -
D. Goodson 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 4 8 -
I. Brown 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
W. Foster 9 2-3 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 4 -
A. Sorenson 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
C. Pontarolo-Maag 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter