Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Florida Atlantic Owls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.5% | 24.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.7% | 27.3% | -5.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -6 (68-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kanaskie | 40 | 6-16 | 2-6 | 10-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| E. Allen | 29 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 29 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| D. Yates | 24 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| D. Williams | 19 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| N. Johnson | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Hair | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Jones | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| L. Yarbrough | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Florida Atlantic Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker | 38 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| P. Graham III | 38 | 7-20 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 4 | - |
| S. Richardson | 35 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 5 | - |
| C. Monroe | 27 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| C. Watson | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Royster | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| S. Hernandez | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Coleman | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter