Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.8% | 12.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -9 (63-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrence Williams * | 40 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Earl Clark * | 38 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Jerry Smith * | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Andre McGee * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Samardo Samuels * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Terrence Jennings | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Edgar Sosa | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Preston Knowles | 15 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Jared Swopshire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deonta Vaughn * | 39 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Mike Williams * | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Larry Davis * | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Rashad Bishop * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Steve Toyloy * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Alvin Mitchell | 27 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Yancy Gates | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Dion Dixon | 16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Darnell Wilks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Anthony McClain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter