Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.6% | 46.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.2% | 3.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.5% | 8.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.6% | 8.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Williams | 40 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| E. Clark | 38 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Jennings | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. McGee | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Samuels | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| E. Sosa | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| P. Knowles | 15 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Swopshire | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Vaughn | 39 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Williams | 30 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Mitchell | 27 | 5-14 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - |
| L. Davis | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Y. Gates | 24 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Bishop | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Toyloy | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Dixon | 16 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| D. Wilks | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. McClain | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter