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2009-05-22

Model Predictions

Model New York Liberty Connecticut Sun Spread Result
Elo 34.1% 65.9% -
Bradley-Terry 35.6% 64.4% -
Margin 28.5% 71.5% +5.1 (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Connecticut Sun +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Carson 22 3-6 0-2 1-2 1 1 3 0 1 7 5 -
L. Mitchell 20 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Waner 18 0-3 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 3 2 0 -
S. Spencer 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 3 1 -
E. Larkins 16 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 4 -1 -
L. Willis 16 3-8 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 8 3 -
S. Christon 15 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 7 1 -
J. Davenport 14 4-7 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 3 10 6 -
K. Vaughn 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 8 5 -
T. Jackson-Jones 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 4 3 -
C. Kraayeveld 12 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 3 2 -
J. McCarville 12 3-9 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 2 0 6 6 -
A. Battle 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 0 2 -

Connecticut Sun

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Gardin 25 2-7 2-4 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 9 8 -
C. Black 19 4-7 0-0 0-0 7 1 2 3 1 8 13 -
A. Holt 18 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 5 4 -
T. Whitmore 16 2-9 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -5 -
E. Phillips 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
L. Whalen 15 1-2 0-1 4-4 1 3 0 0 0 6 8 -
A. Jones 14 5-10 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 11 4 -
B. Turner 14 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
D. Page 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 4 2 -
L. Littles 12 0-5 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
K. Swanier 12 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 -
C. Gay 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Ervin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
A. Hayes 4 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
K. Cirone 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter