Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Alcorn State Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alcorn State Braves +10 (89-79). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cornelius Hester | 38 | 9-23 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Trant Simpson | 35 | 5-16 | 1-7 | 6-6 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 17 | 6 | - |
| Jonathan Belt | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Desmond Jackson | 29 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Kudus Ogbara | 18 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Royce Hamilton | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Jonathan Inman | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Casey Cantey | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| John Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Porter | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jumane Reed | 38 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 19 | - |
| Anthony Ford | 37 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | - |
| Troy Jackson | 37 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Jonathan Boyd | 31 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 17 | - |
| Jarvis Williams | 29 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 4 | - |
| JaMarkus Holt | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Jones | 11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Derrick Blackwell | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Gifford Blakely | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter