Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | Air Force Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Air Force Falcons -5 (66-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Walker * | 39 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 9 | - |
| Willis Gardner * | 37 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Andre McFarland * | 26 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Andy Ogide * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Harvey Perry * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Adam Nigon | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Travis Franklin | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Arin Dunn | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Simmons | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Holland * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Anwar Johnson * | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Sammy Schafer * | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Stewart * | 18 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Shawn Hempsey * | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andrew Henke | 31 | 8-10 | 6-7 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Evan Washington | 31 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Grant Parker | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Avery Merriex | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Saj El-Amin | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter