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2009-05-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Mystics New York Liberty Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 49.8% 50.2% -
Margin 34.7% 65.3% +3.5 (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% -

Actual: New York Liberty +6 (77-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Mystics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Harding 29 4-10 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 11 4 -
M. Coleman 27 3-8 1-3 0-0 7 1 0 2 1 7 8 -
M. Currie 26 1-5 0-1 10-12 6 2 0 1 4 12 12 -
C. Langhorne 24 7-9 0-0 1-1 6 1 1 0 1 15 13 -
M. Ajavon 23 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -1 -
B. Mosby 21 1-5 0-0 3-3 5 0 2 0 1 5 6 -
N. Sanford 20 3-9 0-0 11-19 8 1 1 1 1 17 18 -
C. Melvin 10 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -4 -
N. Blue 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 0 -2 -
K. Brown 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
S. Murphy 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
K. Schumacher 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

New York Liberty

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Mitchell 25 2-3 0-1 6-6 4 2 4 0 1 10 16 -
C. Kraayeveld 22 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 2 2 7 4 -
J. McCarville 20 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 8 8 -
S. Christon 17 3-8 2-3 4-4 2 2 0 0 1 12 7 -
L. Willis 16 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 0 -4 -
E. Carson 16 1-5 1-2 3-4 0 4 1 0 0 6 6 -
T. Jackson-Jones 16 3-6 0-0 4-6 4 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
A. Battle 16 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 4 8 -
A. Waner 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
S. Spencer 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Davenport 11 2-6 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 0 -
E. Larkins 10 1-2 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 5 5 -

* = starter