Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.4% | 61.6% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.3% | 37.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.9% | 20.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bost | 47 | 5-12 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | - |
| P. Turner | 47 | 2-11 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| R. Johnson | 44 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| B. Stewart | 43 | 6-19 | 4-11 | 4-6 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Varnado | 34 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - |
| E. Bailey | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| R. Osby | 7 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Benock | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Augustus | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Beckham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Gee | 41 | 9-20 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 28 | 21 | - |
| A. Brock | 36 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| S. Hillman | 34 | 9-13 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| M. Torrance | 33 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Jemison | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Knox | 29 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| J. Green | 21 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| A. Steele | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Y. Coleman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter