Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Eastern Washington Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +1 (60-59). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Pena | 34 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | -1 | - |
| Will Figures | 30 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Robert Palacios | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Devon Beitzel | 25 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Mike Proctor | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Yahosh Bonner | 20 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Jabril Banks | 16 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Taylor Montgomery | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Chris Kaba | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Neal Kingman | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
Eastern Washington Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benny Valentine | 35 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Andy Genao | 34 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Adris DeLeon | 32 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Brandon Moore | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Gary Gibson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mark Dunn | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Milan Stanojevic | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Matthew Brunell | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Christensen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter