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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Eastern Washington Eagles Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% -
Margin 43.2% 56.8% +1.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 62.2% 37.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 71.5% 28.5% -
Log Adjusted 71.8% 28.2% -

Actual: Eastern Washington Eagles +1 (60-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pena 34 5-10 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 12 -1 -
W. Figures 30 5-8 2-2 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 14 8 -
D. Beitzel 25 3-7 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 7 5 -
R. Palacios 25 2-3 0-0 1-1 3 2 2 0 0 5 9 -
M. Proctor 22 2-5 0-0 1-2 9 0 0 2 0 5 11 -
Y. Bonner 20 0-2 0-2 0-2 4 2 2 0 1 0 5 -
J. Banks 16 3-4 0-1 5-7 4 1 0 0 1 11 11 -
T. Montgomery 15 0-4 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
C. Kaba 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 3 0 0 -
N. Kingman 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -

Eastern Washington Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Valentine 35 8-11 0-1 2-2 3 2 2 0 3 18 11 -
A. Genao 34 2-9 0-0 0-0 6 1 3 0 2 4 3 -
A. DeLeon 32 6-10 2-4 2-3 1 5 4 0 3 16 13 -
B. Moore 22 4-7 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 1 1 9 4 -
G. Gibson 21 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 3 -
M. Dunn 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
M. Stanojevic 18 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
M. Brunell 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 0 4 4 -
J. Christensen 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter