Model Predictions
| Model | Florida Gulf Coast Eagles | Jacksonville Dolphins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jacksonville Dolphins +18 (71-53). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Florida Gulf Coast Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Delvin Franklin | 35 | 5-14 | 2-10 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Derrick O'Neil | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Marks | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Addison Smith | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Chad Lutkenhaus | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Reed Baker | 19 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Reggie Chambers | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Christian Wolf | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| George Erkvania | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ed Rolax | 3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Matt Baker | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Harris Gelin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Smith | 34 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Ayron Hardy | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | - |
| Travis Cohn | 22 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Lehmon Colbert | 22 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Marcus Allen | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Will Alston | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Szymon Lukasiak | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tevin Galvin | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Evan Jefferson | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Chris Edwards | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Brian Gilbert | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Aric Brooks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter