Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Central Eagles | UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.9% | 80.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros +1 (67-66). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
North Carolina Central Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamar Briscoe | 38 | 7-16 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Bryan Ayala | 37 | 7-13 | 5-10 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 23 | - |
| Michael Glasker | 34 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Joshua Worthy | 34 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Raphael McDonald | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Tremain Holloway | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Philip Branch | 12 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Nick Chasten | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Weiermiller | 38 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| P.J. Turner | 34 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Emmanuel Jones | 30 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jared Maree | 28 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Julius Allgood | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Nathan Hawkins | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Ben Smith | 17 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Luis Valera | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jason Jensen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter