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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Richmond Spiders Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.9% 64.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.8% 64.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“

Actual: Richmond Spiders +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Harris 39 6-10 2-4 0-1 5 8 0 0 2 14 15 -
L. Mack 38 8-21 4-10 2-3 10 1 1 1 5 22 9 -
I. Andersen 34 2-8 2-7 2-3 3 0 1 0 0 8 4 -
C. Coley 34 3-6 0-0 1-2 11 0 1 0 1 7 12 -
A. Wilderness 21 0-4 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -
R. Coleman 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 4 -
J. Barnett 10 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 6 2 -
G. Ngoundjo 9 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

Richmond Spiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Smith 35 4-9 1-2 2-3 6 2 0 3 1 11 12 -
D. Gonzalvez 35 3-8 1-3 1-2 13 1 0 0 1 8 13 -
K. Anderson 32 6-16 2-5 5-6 6 2 3 0 5 19 9 -
R. Butler 27 3-7 1-5 1-2 4 2 2 4 1 8 12 -
F. Martel 26 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 2 0 1 0 4 5 -
J. Giddings 25 2-5 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 6 6 -
J. Harper 13 2-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
K. Hovde 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Duinker 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter