Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte 49ers | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +7 (65-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DiJuan Harris * | 39 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Lamont Mack * | 38 | 8-21 | 4-10 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Ian Andersen * | 34 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Charlie Coley * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| An'Juan Wilderness * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | - |
| RaShad Coleman | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Javarris Barnett | 10 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Gaby Ngoundjo | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Gonzalvez * | 35 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Kevin Smith * | 35 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Anderson * | 32 | 6-16 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Butler * | 27 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jarhon Giddings * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Francis-Cedric Martel | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Justin Harper | 13 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Kevin Hovde | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Josh Duinker | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter