Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.9% | 77.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +12 (90-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grayson Flittner * | 38 | 2-11 | 2-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Henley * | 33 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Anton Silver * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Maggard * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Roy Hinson III * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Aaron Linn | 34 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Hailey | 28 | 4-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Nate Blank | 24 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5-6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| Auryn MacMillan | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Jonathan Moore | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Jackson | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pierre Curtis * | 38 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 21 | - |
| Julius Wells * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Ben Louis * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Kyle Swanston * | 28 | 5-10 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Juwann James * | 28 | 11-16 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Andrey Semenov | 26 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -1 | - |
| Scott Renkin | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Heiden Ratner | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Matt Parker | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Knight | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter