Model Predictions
| Model | Centenary (LA) Ladies | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +11 (79-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Centenary (LA) Ladies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Adams | 40 | 1-11 | 1-10 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Maxx Nakwaasah | 38 | 7-15 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Nick Stallings | 31 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Gary Redus | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| David Perez | 20 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Roman Tubner | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Travis Hill | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Gatlin | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jerrald Bonham | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Willie Woods | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Davis Baker | 40 | 11-16 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 28 | 19 | - |
| Dave Marek | 35 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| John Clifford | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 21 | - |
| Cory Davis | 27 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Tyler Quinney | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jake Nielson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Mike Josserand | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jaren Jeffery | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Drew Allen | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter