Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma Sooners | Texas Longhorns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Texas Longhorns +5 (73-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma Sooners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Crocker * | 40 | 6-14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Willie Warren * | 38 | 10-20 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | - |
| Austin Johnson * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Taylor Griffin * | 35 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Blake Griffin * | 11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Wright | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Juan Pattillo | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Omar Leary | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Cade Davis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Abrams * | 40 | 8-17 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 8 | - |
| Dogus Balbay * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Justin Mason * | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Damion James * | 25 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dexter Pittman * | 24 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Connor Atchley | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Clint Chapman | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Varez Ward | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter