Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -4 (54-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Fowler | 37 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 8-14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Matt Mouzy | 32 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shane Edwards | 32 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Mike Smith | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Lionel Foster | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Brandon Patterson | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Wayne Burton | 16 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| LaMarvon Jackson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Curtis Jackson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Courtney Jackson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Derrick Bails | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Johnson | 30 | 0-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Josh White | 29 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Eric Tramiel | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - |
| Collin Dennis | 22 | 3-10 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Adam McCoy | 20 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Harold Stewart | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| George Odufuwa | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Kedrick Hogans | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Justin Howerton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
* = starter