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UCF Knights 72
@
Houston Cougars 77
2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 33.5% 66.5% - ✓
Margin 21.2% 78.8% +7.2 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.9% 73.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 35.1% 64.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% - ✓

Actual: Houston Cougars +5 (77-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Taylor 35 12-26 3-13 8-9 4 2 1 0 1 35 15 -
A.J. Rompza 32 0-4 0-1 0-0 4 7 1 0 2 0 6 -
A.J. Tyler 30 3-7 0-1 0-0 11 2 1 1 0 6 14 -
I. Sosa 23 5-9 4-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 2 16 9 -
T. Young 22 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 3 -1 -
K. Zondervan 18 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 3 0 0 0 6 6 -
P.J. Gaynor 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 2 2 5 -
J. Yotio 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
C. Baez 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -
D. Speraw 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Coleman 40 10-16 1-2 7-13 13 3 2 0 3 28 27 -
K. Lewis 38 7-20 4-11 4-4 8 2 3 0 2 22 13 -
M. Cousin 32 2-4 0-0 5-9 10 0 1 4 2 9 18 -
Z. Nixon 25 1-7 0-2 3-4 2 4 1 0 0 5 5 -
D. Williams 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 2 0 0 5 6 -
Q. Calhoun 19 1-5 0-3 0-1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -2 -
S. Coleman 11 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
N. Mosley 8 0-1 0-0 6-6 1 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
D. Wade 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter