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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Cornell Big Red Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 43.1% 56.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.3% 49.7% -
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 (41.1 off)
Pythagorean 58.6% 41.4% -
Efficiency 78.5% 21.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% -
Log Adjusted 79.7% 20.3% -

Actual: Brown Bears -40 (45-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wittman 24 5-10 3-4 2-2 2 4 2 0 1 15 12 -
A. Tyler 21 5-7 0-0 0-1 6 0 0 0 2 10 7 -
C. Wroblewski 21 0-2 0-1 2-2 5 5 0 0 2 2 8 -
L. Dale 20 5-9 2-5 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 12 9 -
J. Foote 19 6-7 0-0 4-4 9 0 1 1 1 16 19 -
B. Kreefer 19 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 2 1 0 0 10 13 -
A. Gore 15 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
G. Reeves 13 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 4 3 -
J. Battle 8 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
A. Wire 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 1 3 0 4 1 3 -
A. Hill 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 -
J. Jaques 7 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wilkins 7 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 0 1 0 1 1 0 -
C. Mullen 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 5 -
P. Reynolds 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Mullery 28 5-9 0-1 1-2 5 2 1 1 3 11 8 -
P. Sullivan 24 5-9 2-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
A. Williams 24 0-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
G. Leffelman 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -2 -
C. Skrelja 21 3-7 0-3 0-0 5 6 0 0 3 6 7 -
S. Kaluz 18 1-5 0-0 2-5 6 1 2 1 0 4 9 -
S. Kane 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Harris 17 1-5 1-3 1-2 3 1 2 0 5 4 0 -
C. Taylor 15 2-5 0-0 2-3 0 0 1 0 1 6 1 -
M. Kelly 14 0-5 0-5 0-0 0 0 1 1 1 0 -4 -

* = starter