Model Predictions
| Model | California Golden Bears | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.4% | 31.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +11 (65-54). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo Robertson * | 37 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Patrick Christopher * | 36 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Jamal Boykin * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jerome Randle * | 31 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Harper Kamp * | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jorge Gutierrez | 31 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D.J. Seeley | 12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Omondi Amoke | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Tarver * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Roeland Schaftenaar * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| Rickey Claitt * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Josh Tarver * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin McShane * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Haynes | 27 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Daniel Deane | 22 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Lathen Wallace | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Omari Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Calvin Hampton | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Bjornstad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey McConnell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter