Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +15 (79-64). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Stucki * | 39 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Amorrow Morgan * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Lucas Steijn * | 37 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Chron Tatum * | 31 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Donnie Carson * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Austin Kilpatrick | 27 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Felix Caspari | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Deividas Busma | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Phyllip Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Johnson * | 37 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 12-12 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 24 | - |
| Jordan Hasquet * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Staudacher * | 30 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Sharp * | 29 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Jack McGillis * | 29 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Michael Taylor | 19 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Brian Qvale | 19 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ceylon Elgin-Taylor | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shawn Stockton | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter