Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Maryland Terrapins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.5% | 68.5% | +4.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Maryland Terrapins +3 (88-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 41 | 8-20 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 6 | - |
| W. Ellington | 38 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 34 | 4-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Thompson | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 30 | 7-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| B. Frasor | 25 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| E. Davis | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Zeller | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Maryland Terrapins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Vasquez | 44 | 13-24 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 35 | 30 | - |
| E. Hayes | 35 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Neal | 30 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Tucker | 29 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| L. Milbourne | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Gregory | 19 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| A. Bowie | 17 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| S. Mosley | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Burney | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter