Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Wolves | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +30 (93-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Sweetney * | 40 | 7-18 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Marquis Ford * | 37 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 9-12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Mislav Jukic * | 31 | 3-13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -6 | - |
| Kurt Hoffman * | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Cale Nelson * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Grant Surprenant | 29 | 4-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Steve Profeta | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Randy Spaid | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Cajou * | 31 | 6-10 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Goode * | 28 | 7-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Kelly Beidler * | 23 | 8-10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| Sam Atupem * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Markus Mitchell * | 22 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Shawn Atupem | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Will Holland | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Pierre Brown | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tayvon Jackson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Lamar Trice | 9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Danny Thompson | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mike Harvey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kevin Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter