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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 71.1% 28.9% -
Bradley-Terry 39.6% 60.4% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.3% 47.7% -
Efficiency 62.7% 37.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.5% 35.5% -
Log Adjusted 64.6% 35.4% -

Actual: LSU Tigers +7 (79-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Waller 36 7-11 3-6 0-0 5 3 1 2 2 17 15 -
D. Reed 36 6-20 1-4 3-4 3 3 1 1 0 16 4 -
K. Barber 33 9-14 0-0 1-3 5 1 0 1 2 19 10 -
Q. Robertson 28 1-4 0-0 0-2 2 2 1 0 1 2 2 -
L. Hargrove 25 3-6 1-2 0-0 6 2 2 1 0 7 12 -
F. Sullivan 17 3-7 0-1 2-2 0 1 1 0 1 8 2 -
R. Barrett 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
B. Knox 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell 37 7-15 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 1 1 14 10 -
G. Temple 35 3-6 2-3 4-4 6 6 2 0 3 12 17 -
C. Johnson 34 5-8 0-0 2-2 8 3 1 4 2 12 18 -
M. Thornton 33 6-13 1-4 12-13 7 0 0 1 1 25 19 -
B. Spencer 28 5-9 1-3 3-3 2 1 0 0 1 14 7 -
T. Martin 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -
A. Farrer 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Q. Thornton 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Bass 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter