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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 36.2% 63.8% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 84.0% 16.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.6% 36.4% -
Log Adjusted 63.8% 36.2% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +19 (77-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 33 1-11 0-4 4-6 4 2 0 0 2 6 -1 -
S. Hopson 30 6-14 2-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 14 0 -
W. Chism 30 4-12 1-7 1-1 8 1 0 0 3 10 4 -
J.P. Prince 25 5-8 0-0 1-1 6 1 2 0 2 11 10 -
B. Maze 25 1-7 1-4 3-4 2 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
B. Williams 21 2-5 0-0 3-3 8 0 1 1 2 7 10 -
J. Tabb 14 0-1 0-1 2-4 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Tatum 13 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 -
R. Woolridge 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Wild 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
E. Negedu 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Pearl 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Childress 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Hubert 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Q. Cannington 1 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Meeks 37 4-14 0-7 6-6 2 3 3 0 2 14 6 -
M. Porter 34 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 6 1 1 2 9 11 -
P. Patterson 30 9-12 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 0 2 19 13 -
P. Stevenson 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 2 6 7 -
D. Miller 26 6-6 3-3 2-2 3 6 0 2 1 17 21 -
R. Harris 17 1-1 1-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 5 7 -
D. Liggins 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 0 2 -
K. Galloway 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A.J. Stewart 6 1-3 0-0 3-4 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Harrellson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
L. Slone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Carter 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
M. Krebs 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Perry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter