Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | UIC Flames | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UIC Flames +7 (74-67). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Dillard * | 38 | 6-16 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 5 | - |
| Justin Bocot * | 31 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Carlton Fay * | 28 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Tony Boyle * | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ryan Hare * | 23 | 3-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Clemmons | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Nick Evans | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Anthony Booker | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
UIC Flames
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robo Kreps * | 38 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Josh Mayo * | 35 | 6-18 | 5-11 | 8-12 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Scott VanderMeer * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jeremy Buttell * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tori Boyd * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Spencer Stewart | 31 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Rob Eppinger | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Chris Buchanan | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter