Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +3 (78-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob Haynes | 36 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Mark Hill | 32 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Kenny Daniels | 30 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Vincent Cordell | 30 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Tremaine Townsend | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Willie Galick | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rodrigue Mels | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Matthew Wallace | 6 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Therin Taylor | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mac Hopson | 37 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-6 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Kashif Watson | 34 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Marvin Jefferson | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Terrence Simmons | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brandon Wiley | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Trevor Morris | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Luciano de Souza | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Luis Augusto | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Drew Eisinger | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter