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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% -
Margin 14.2% 85.8% +9.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 32.7% 67.3% -
Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Log Adjusted 21.2% 78.8% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +8 (57-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 36 5-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 2 10 10 -
A. Ampim 35 1-5 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
P. Foley 30 6-14 0-1 5-6 4 3 2 0 1 17 11 -
N. Agho 29 1-6 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 3 -1 -
N. Scott 25 3-6 1-3 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 9 5 -
K. Bulger 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 4 1 -
K.J. Matsui 14 1-6 0-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 -3 -
S. Egee 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 -
Z. Crimmins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Zampier 33 5-14 0-3 6-7 4 2 1 0 2 16 7 -
T. Pinick 31 4-5 0-0 2-3 4 2 3 1 2 10 13 -
R. Morin 25 5-11 0-1 6-11 5 0 1 0 1 16 10 -
G. Fiddler 24 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
C. Andrews 21 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 4 2 0 3 1 3 -
P. Braswell 19 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 2 1 -
M. Sands 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
P. Nelson 14 2-2 0-0 4-4 2 0 0 0 0 8 8 -
J. Gibson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 3 -
R. Mantilla 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Mangano 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter