Model Predictions
| Model | Columbia Lions | Yale Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Yale Bulldogs +8 (57-49). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Columbia Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Miller * | 36 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Asenso Ampim * | 35 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Noruwa Agho * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Niko Scott * | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Bulger * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Foley | 30 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - |
| K.J. Matsui | 14 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Steve Egee | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zack Crimmins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Yale Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Zampier * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Travis Pinick * | 31 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Ross Morin * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 6-11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Fiddler * | 24 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chris Andrews * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Porter Braswell | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Sands | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Paul Nelson | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Gibson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Raffi Mantilla | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Greg Mangano | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter