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2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 3.4% 96.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% - โœ“
Margin 2.0% 98.0% +21.4 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 19.4% 80.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 13.0% 87.0% - โœ“

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (64-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dwaine Jones 40 5-18 1-6 3-3 5 5 2 2 3 14 7 -
C. Howard 40 5-17 1-4 0-0 8 8 0 0 2 11 8 -
J. Leemow 34 0-7 0-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -4 -
A. Rivas 34 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 1 6 8 -
A. Gilchrist 27 6-14 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 15 2 -
A. Williams 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
G. Belardo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Espinosa 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Kardok 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
B.J. Daniels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Adrien 38 4-14 0-0 1-4 15 0 0 2 1 9 11 -
H. Thabeet 38 7-10 0-0 7-10 9 0 2 6 2 21 26 -
A.J. Price 34 4-11 1-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 11 5 -
C. Austrie 30 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 1 7 5 -
K. Walker 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 4 5 -
S. Robinson 25 5-12 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
G. Edwards 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
S. Haralson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter