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South Florida Bulls 50
@
UConn Huskies 64
2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 8.2% 91.8% - ✓
Margin 13.1% 86.9% - ✓
Pythagorean 26.7% 73.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 2.0% 98.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 13.2% 86.8% - ✓

Actual: UConn Huskies +14 (64-50). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Chris Howard * 40 5-17 1-4 0-0 8 8 0 0 2 11 8 -
Dominique Jones * 40 5-18 1-6 3-3 5 5 2 2 3 14 7 -
Alex Rivas * 34 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 1 6 8 -
Justin Leemow * 34 0-7 0-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 -4 -
Augustus Gilchrist * 27 6-14 3-6 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 15 2 -
Aris Williams 17 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
Gaby Belardo 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Daniels 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Ryan Kardok 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Eladio Espinosa 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jeff Adrien * 38 4-14 0-0 1-4 15 0 0 2 1 9 11 -
Hasheem Thabeet * 38 7-10 0-0 7-10 9 0 2 6 2 21 26 -
A.J. Price * 34 4-11 1-4 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 11 5 -
Craig Austrie * 30 3-6 0-1 1-2 1 4 0 0 1 7 5 -
Stanley Robinson * 25 5-12 0-1 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 10 6 -
Kemba Walker 29 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 4 5 -
Gavin Edwards 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
Scottie Haralson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter