Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Huskies | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans -9 (51-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quincy Pondexter * | 33 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Justin Dentmon * | 32 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Jon Brockman * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Thomas * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Darnell Gant * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Venoy Overton | 21 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Matthew Bryan-Amaning | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Justin Holiday | 9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Elston Turner Jr. | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hackett * | 39 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Dwight Lewis * | 39 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -5 | - |
| DeMar DeRozan * | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Taj Gibson * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Keith Wilkinson * | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Leonard Washington | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Nikola Vucevic | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Simmons | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Donte Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter