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Washington Huskies 60
@
USC Trojans 51
2009-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.9% 59.1% - ✗
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 ✗ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 54.3% 45.7% - ✓
Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 78.1% 21.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.2% 21.8% - ✓

Actual: USC Trojans -9 (51-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pondexter 33 10-13 0-0 2-2 5 0 2 0 3 22 13 -
J. Dentmon 32 2-10 0-4 4-4 5 0 3 0 3 8 3 -
J. Brockman 32 2-8 0-0 2-2 14 0 1 0 2 6 11 -
I. Thomas 27 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 4 -2 -
D. Gant 22 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
V. Overton 21 2-6 1-3 2-2 1 2 3 0 3 7 4 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 19 1-4 0-0 5-9 3 0 0 1 1 7 6 -
J. Holiday 9 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
E. Turner Jr. 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett 39 3-5 1-2 4-6 3 5 2 0 2 11 14 -
D. Lewis 39 4-15 2-7 1-2 3 0 2 0 6 11 -5 -
D. DeRozan 37 3-10 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
T. Gibson 34 4-6 0-0 2-2 2 5 0 4 3 10 12 -
L. Washington 25 4-9 0-0 1-2 6 1 4 0 4 9 7 -
N. Vucevic 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
K. Wilkinson 5 0-2 0-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
M. Simmons 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter