Model Predictions
| Model | UL Monroe Warhawks | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.4% | 89.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +7 (67-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UL Monroe Warhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Thomas | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Lawrence Gilbert | 34 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Dynile Forbes | 28 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Jarvis Hill | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Afam Nweke | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kenneth Averette | 22 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Rudy Turner | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Reggie Lassiter | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeAndre Coleman | 36 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 24 | - |
| Domonic Tilford | 34 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Garner | 32 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 29 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| Ronald Douglas | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Bryan Sherrer | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| LaShun Watson | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Philip Tabet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| DeAndrae Ross | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Charles Tabet | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamal Harris | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B.J. Ford | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter