Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | UAB Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UAB Blazers +30 (86-56). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Beasley * | 39 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Jeremy Wise * | 36 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 3 | - |
| R.L. Horton * | 30 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Andre Stephens * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Craig Craft * | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Rodney McCauley | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Cory Smith | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Bryson Brewer | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Delaney III * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Robert Vaden * | 30 | 8-16 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Channing Toney * | 28 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Lawrence Kinnard * | 25 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - |
| Howard Crawford * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Aaron Johnson | 26 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Cameron Moore | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Mike Davis Jr. | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Mike Jones | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter