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Columbia Lions 70
@
Brown Bears 57
2009-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Brown Bears Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - ✓
Margin 48.4% 51.6% +0.4 ✗ (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 61.0% 39.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 60.7% 39.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.3% 50.7% - ✗

Actual: Brown Bears -13 (57-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Scott 30 1-1 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 1 2 5 -
J. Miller 29 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 0 0 4 8 -
A. Ampim 28 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 2 8 10 -
P. Foley 27 7-10 3-3 4-4 0 5 1 0 0 21 17 -
N. Agho 23 6-10 3-5 2-2 1 2 1 0 2 17 9 -
K.J. Matsui 20 5-10 2-5 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 14 8 -
J. Bova 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
K. Bulger 11 1-5 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
S. Egee 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Z. Crimmins 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
M. Johnson 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 40 7-14 2-7 3-5 4 2 0 0 0 19 11 -
C. Skrelja 39 0-4 0-2 0-2 8 3 0 0 2 0 5 -
A. Williams 37 4-11 0-7 2-2 4 1 1 0 1 10 4 -
M. Mullery 36 7-12 0-0 7-8 6 0 3 4 6 21 16 -
M. Kelly 21 2-2 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
C. Taylor 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 1 2 0 0 -
S. Kaluz 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
J. Harris 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter