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2009-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Princeton Tigers Spread Result
Elo 36.5% 63.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.4% 61.6% -
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +6.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% -
Efficiency 73.5% 26.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.7% 52.3% -

Actual: Princeton Tigers +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 36 5-13 1-2 2-4 5 0 0 2 4 13 3 -
D. Housman 35 5-9 0-1 6-6 3 4 2 0 1 16 15 -
K. Wright 33 2-6 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
O. McNally 22 1-2 0-0 5-6 4 0 2 0 2 7 9 -
A. Pusar 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
P. Boehm 19 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
E. Harris 18 1-1 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
M. Kenyi 18 1-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -4 -

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Schroeder 36 2-4 2-2 0-0 2 5 0 0 0 6 9 -
D. Davis 34 5-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
Z. Finley 23 3-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 1 2 8 8 -
P. Buczak 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 3 3 2 7 -
D. Mavraides 21 0-3 0-2 6-8 1 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
P. Saunders 21 2-2 1-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 5 4 -
K. Maddox 17 1-2 0-0 6-6 4 0 1 0 1 8 10 -
J. Comfort 15 2-9 2-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 -3 -
J. Briggs 6 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 2 4 -
N. Lake 5 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 3 1 -

* = starter