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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 35.1% 64.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Margin 32.6% 67.4% +4.0 โœ— (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 41.1% 58.9% - โœ—

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Flemings 38 5-14 0-1 12-13 12 2 1 0 3 22 20 -
K. Nitoto 37 5-12 0-2 2-3 4 5 1 1 1 12 10 -
H. Thompson 37 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 6 2 1 2 8 13 -
B. Amis 32 5-9 0-0 1-3 3 2 2 1 2 11 8 -
B. Adams 27 5-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 1 12 8 -
P. Campbell 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 3 1 8 7 -
A. Mayen 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Golubovic 38 5-8 4-6 1-4 2 1 3 0 2 15 11 -
P. George 38 3-8 2-4 8-12 5 2 2 0 1 16 16 -
B. Cartwright 33 0-3 0-2 4-4 0 8 0 0 3 4 6 -
S. Seay 32 7-12 1-2 7-7 9 1 1 0 3 22 18 -
M. Ladd 26 2-7 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
B. Sperling 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
B. Webster 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
M. Green 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter