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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 25.3% 74.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 57.7% 42.3% - โœ—
Margin 45.2% 54.8% +1.1 โœ“ (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.7% 47.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% - โœ“

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Jackson 0 3-6 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
A. Smalley 0 6-11 3-7 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 15 7 -
S. Hobbs 0 8-16 0-4 3-5 4 1 1 0 2 19 7 -
W. Boddie 0 5-13 0-0 0-0 7 8 0 0 3 10 9 -
D. Bonner 0 6-12 1-2 0-0 7 1 1 2 4 13 8 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Tuomi 0 4-7 0-0 0-1 7 1 2 2 2 8 11 -
C. Wirth 0 6-12 0-5 2-2 9 5 1 0 4 14 13 -
J. Rhoads 0 7-10 0-0 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 16 8 -
M. Marsh 0 1-4 1-3 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
J. Risper 0 3-6 0-0 8-11 2 2 0 0 0 14 12 -

* = starter