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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 78.2% 21.8% -
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 77.6% 22.4% -
Efficiency 95.1% 4.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 92.2% 7.8% -
Log Adjusted 92.3% 7.7% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers +12 (66-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Hill 38 1-5 0-0 1-2 3 6 3 0 1 3 9 -
L. Fields 32 5-12 2-5 5-6 3 2 0 0 3 17 7 -
M. Johnson 31 3-3 1-1 0-0 5 5 2 0 1 7 15 -
A. Goods 21 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -4 -
J. Green 17 7-12 5-9 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 19 8 -
K. Brown 14 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
D. Shiller 14 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mann 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
W. Paul 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Owens 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Dildy 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Trotter 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Schaftenaar 34 8-11 2-3 8-11 5 2 1 2 4 26 21 -
S. Tarver 33 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 1 4 0 1 7 12 -
R. Claitt 32 1-4 1-3 4-6 4 2 0 0 2 7 7 -
C. Haynes 29 6-14 1-2 4-4 5 1 0 0 2 17 7 -
J. Tarver 19 1-2 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Deane 16 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 3 4 -
K. McShane 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
O. Johnson 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
L. Wallace 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Hampton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bjornstad 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McConnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter