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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Golden Gophers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 11.4% 88.6% -
Bradley-Terry 31.5% 68.5% -
Margin 19.6% 80.4% +7.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% -
Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.4% 49.6% -
Log Adjusted 50.3% 49.7% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Westbrook 32 6-15 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 12 4 -
D. Joseph 31 5-9 3-6 1-2 1 4 0 1 3 14 8 -
D. Johnson 25 3-4 0-0 4-4 4 0 1 4 2 10 13 -
B. Hoffarber 22 2-8 2-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 3 -
R. Sampson III 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Nolen 18 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 3 4 3 -
C. Iverson 16 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 6 8 -
P. Carter 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 2 8 -
T. Busch 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 2 1 -
D. Bostick 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -
J. Abu-Shamala 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Lee 37 1-3 0-2 2-2 4 4 2 0 0 4 11 -
Z. Novak 36 6-10 6-10 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 18 16 -
S. Douglass 32 5-10 2-6 0-2 1 3 2 0 2 12 6 -
D. Sims 32 5-16 2-5 0-0 8 1 2 0 0 12 7 -
M. Harris 22 2-8 0-2 4-4 6 2 1 0 5 8 4 -
K. Grady 14 4-4 3-3 1-3 0 3 0 0 1 12 10 -
D. Merritt 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 0 4 -
Z. Gibson 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
L. Lucas-Perry 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Shepherd 4 1-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter