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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Margin 82.3% 17.7% -8.5 โœ“ (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 88.1% 11.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“

Actual: Boston College Eagles -24 (68-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Breland 0 4-7 0-0 3-5 10 4 3 4 6 11 19 -
I. Mcfarland 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Lucas 0 7-13 2-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 4 16 3 -
C. DeGraffenreid 0 4-8 0-2 10-10 2 3 5 0 5 18 15 -
R. Mccants 0 8-14 0-0 3-6 8 1 0 0 1 19 13 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Murphy 0 7-14 0-2 5-6 4 1 2 0 2 19 10 -
C. Swords 0 2-5 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 1 5 4 2 -
A. Brown 0 3-9 0-0 3-4 8 7 2 0 1 9 16 -
M. Picco 0 6-16 2-11 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 14 -1 -
J. Thoman 0 3-5 2-2 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 8 7 -

* = starter