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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Indiana Hoosiers Spread Result
Elo 88.3% 11.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Margin 88.4% 11.6% -11.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 82.1% 17.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 72.7% 27.3% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Hoosiers -17 (51-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bohannon 37 2-7 1-4 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 6 5 -
T. Hughes 36 7-14 3-6 4-4 5 4 2 0 2 21 16 -
J. Krabbenhoft 31 7-11 1-1 3-4 5 2 2 0 0 18 16 -
M. Landry 26 4-7 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 9 6 -
J. Taylor 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
T. Jarmusz 18 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
J. Leuer 16 2-5 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 2 -
K. Nankivil 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
K. Gullikson 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Wilson 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Valentyn 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Cain 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Jones III 31 7-14 0-1 2-5 3 3 0 0 2 16 6 -
D. Dumes 30 1-6 1-4 9-9 3 2 1 0 4 12 8 -
M. Roth 28 0-2 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
K. Taber 24 1-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
N. Williams 23 1-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
T. Pritchard 21 2-5 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
M. Story 18 5-8 1-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 11 3 -
B. Lewis 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
D. Moore 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Finkelmeier 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter