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2009-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Washington Huskies UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 35.3% 64.7% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 22.1% 77.9% +6.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% -
Efficiency 8.5% 91.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 43.3% 56.7% -
Log Adjusted 43.0% 57.0% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +9 (85-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Brockman 33 7-14 0-0 2-4 14 2 2 0 2 16 18 -
Q. Pondexter 32 6-10 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 1 1 12 10 -
J. Dentmon 30 9-16 4-5 0-0 1 2 3 0 0 22 12 -
I. Thomas 30 5-14 0-3 2-6 6 2 0 0 5 12 1 -
D. Gant 24 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
V. Overton 21 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 3 2 1 4 6 5 -
J. Holiday 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 2 4 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 13 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 -2 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Shipp 36 6-10 3-3 5-6 5 4 0 0 0 20 19 -
D. Collison 33 6-14 1-3 4-4 0 5 2 0 3 17 7 -
N. Dragovic 32 6-10 3-7 0-0 8 2 1 0 3 15 13 -
J. Holiday 28 4-9 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 10 4 -
A. Aboya 28 6-12 0-0 1-2 11 1 0 0 1 13 12 -
M. Roll 12 2-4 1-2 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 6 4 -
D. Gordon 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 2 4 -
J. Keefe 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 2 5 -
J. Anderson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 0 -4 -
M. Lee 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter