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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 44.4% 55.6% -
Bradley-Terry 53.8% 46.2% -
Margin 53.5% 46.5% -0.8 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 72.6% 27.4% -
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.5% 12.5% -
Log Adjusted 87.7% 12.3% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 35 4-10 2-5 8-9 5 3 4 0 4 18 16 -
W. Adams 35 6-16 1-5 5-8 3 0 2 0 3 18 4 -
R. Rougeau 33 6-8 0-0 4-6 2 0 3 2 2 16 13 -
O. Bellfield 31 2-8 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 4 -1 -
J. Darger 23 1-8 1-8 1-3 5 0 1 0 1 4 1 -
M. Rutledge 17 2-5 1-3 1-2 6 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
K. Wallace 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
B. Massamba 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Mitchell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Santee 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing 39 8-16 5-8 8-9 2 4 1 1 4 29 17 -
S. Ogirri 38 5-12 2-7 1-2 3 4 3 0 5 13 6 -
T. Johnson 36 2-4 0-0 3-4 9 2 0 0 4 7 10 -
D. Thiam 25 3-4 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 1 9 10 -
A.J. Davis 21 2-4 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 3 5 -1 -
A. Muojeke 20 0-1 0-1 4-6 13 0 1 0 2 4 15 -
A. Waddell 16 3-3 0-0 4-8 5 0 0 0 2 10 10 -
R. Dermody 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Diakite 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 1 -

* = starter