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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons TCU Horned Frogs Spread Result
Elo 5.1% 94.9% -
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% -
Margin 4.4% 95.6% +16.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 25.1% 74.9% -
Efficiency 11.1% 88.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 17.9% 82.1% -
Log Adjusted 17.9% 82.1% -

Actual: TCU Horned Frogs +12 (62-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Henke 33 5-14 3-10 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 13 5 -
A. Johnson 33 4-7 0-0 4-5 4 3 1 0 4 12 9 -
M. Holland 30 2-8 2-7 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 8 0 -
E. Washington 28 4-4 1-1 1-2 1 2 0 0 1 10 8 -
G. Parker 21 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
T. Stewart 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
M. McLain 14 1-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 6 -
S. Hempsey 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
A. Merriex 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Schafer 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
B. Provost 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Noonan 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. El-Amin 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

TCU Horned Frogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Langford 37 2-4 0-1 4-4 4 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
J. Ebie 35 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 6 1 0 1 3 9 -
Z. Buljan 35 6-9 2-4 6-6 8 2 5 0 0 20 26 -
E. Ruzgas 25 1-4 0-3 2-3 1 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
K. Butler 21 1-6 1-2 2-4 1 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
K. Mitchem 21 3-6 2-3 4-5 3 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
R. Moss 19 4-7 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 10 2 -
J. Ortiz 4 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Lancon 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter