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2009-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers UC Santa Barbara Gauchos Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% -
Bradley-Terry 44.9% 55.1% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (6.4 off)

Actual: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos +10 (67-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Kirby 34 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 9 3 -
B. LeDuc 28 3-10 1-5 3-4 2 1 2 0 1 10 4 -
C. Troyer 27 3-7 3-6 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 11 4 -
S. Willard 25 2-2 0-0 0-1 1 1 2 0 2 4 4 -
J. Ford 23 0-0 0-0 0-2 3 3 1 0 1 0 6 -
T. Smith 22 1-1 0-0 5-6 4 0 0 0 5 7 5 -
A. Brown 18 1-3 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 1 2 4 3 -
J. Doran 14 2-2 2-2 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 9 8 -
L. Neufville 5 0-0 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
C. Neimeyer 4 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Devine 35 8-15 0-1 10-10 8 1 1 0 0 26 21 -
J. Powell 29 5-9 2-4 4-4 4 1 1 0 1 16 12 -
W. Brew 28 1-4 1-2 3-4 3 2 1 0 2 6 6 -
D.J. Posley 24 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 3 2 1 -
J. Serna 19 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Nunnally 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 1 1 0 4 -
P. Roemer 18 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 2 0 0 1 4 3 -
G. Somogyi 15 3-6 0-0 1-1 2 2 0 2 0 7 7 -
J. Byrd 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
S. Phippen 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter